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My Conjectures

03/25/2026 02:02
At the end of the day all we're doing is exchanging experiences Whether it's code, media, knowledge (an experienc...
Completed View Brainstorm
03/14/2026 18:53
There is a lot of advice about picking your hardest task first in the day. I believe it's better to select the task you...
Completed View Brainstorm
02/27/2026 13:13
If value is desire plus scarcity, then you need to figure out how to create Something people really, really want that on...
Completed View Brainstorm
02/23/2026 11:05
Architecture as a Differentiator Generating code is now cheap Pumping out lines of code is now easy Pumping ent...
Failed
02/12/2026 00:17
Allocation of resources (time, money, energy, attention, etc.) under uncertainty is one of the most important things hum...
Completed View Brainstorm
02/07/2026 23:52
If two people use the same model, with similar access, for the same nominal goal, then raw intelligence, prompts, or eff...
Completed View Brainstorm
02/05/2026 20:47
When we look at software as a sector of technology, in the age of AI where there will be less human labor and more autom...
Completed View Brainstorm
02/04/2026 05:32
In the age of AI absorbing more of our tasks, what matters most is being able to secure important relationships, drive c...
Completed View Brainstorm
02/04/2026 05:20
You should channel all of your efforts into creating something or connecting with someone. Ultimately, sharing is the pr...
Completed View Brainstorm
02/04/2026 02:12
Human's ability to recognize is underutilized. There is a ton of value of "recognizing" (for example seeing many use cas...
Completed View Brainstorm
02/04/2026 02:10
The organizational inertia for employees using AI stems from the lack of visible multiplicative/leveraged valuable outco...
Completed View Brainstorm
02/02/2026 20:33
Boredom is a ready state. Overstimulation is system overload and there is a need for clearance (doing nothing/mindful...
Completed View Brainstorm
02/02/2026 20:30
We need ongoing projects/exercises to express what we learn and develop to create clearance for more things to learn and...
Completed View Brainstorm
02/02/2026 15:11
You should network like an intelligence agency. Know who you're going after to meet and why. Play the long game. Unders...
Completed View Brainstorm
02/02/2026 02:24
Watch AI over the the last years has shown how fast things change when working with LLMs. Teams working with AI should b...
Completed View Brainstorm
01/20/2026 05:29
Agent Logs are going to be the new clickstream data. Agents are generating a ton of activity that we can use for valuabl...
Failed
11/22/2025 17:30
New knowledge (things learned) must be prioritized as a byproduct of interaction between AI and human. Documenting learn...
Processing Reports 71% complete
11/18/2025 23:59
With the rise of AI, there will be very little entry level white collar roles. Above all, you'll need to signal intellig...
Processing Reports 71% complete
11/18/2025 14:06
Its not the idea that goals aren’t useful but rather rigid plans that don’t enable learning in pursuit of goals are. Bes...
Processing Reports 71% complete
11/17/2025 12:48
The language that to describe or even frame your problem matters and if you’re going to attempt to address a perceived p...
Failed
11/16/2025 02:08
we might be facing the explosion of intelligence of organizations if we begin to use LLMs and agents in our products tha...
Completed View Brainstorm
11/16/2025 02:07
we might be facing the explosion of intelligence of organizations if we begin to use LLMs and agents in our products tha...
Processing Clarity
11/15/2025 17:31
we might be facing the explosion of intelligence of organizations if we begin to use LLMs and agents in our products tha...
Processing Clarity
11/15/2025 17:25
we might be facing the explosion of intelligence of organizations if we begin to use LLMs and agents in our products tha...
Processing Clarity
11/15/2025 17:24
we might be facing the explosion of intelligence of organizations if we begin to use LLMs and agents in our products tha...
Processing Clarity
11/15/2025 17:24
we might be facing the explosion of intelligence of organizations if we begin to use LLMs and agents in our products tha...
Processing Clarity
11/07/2025 03:58
I have the opinion that Vision Deck will become more important for all creative media even writing now that there is an...
Completed View Brainstorm
11/07/2025 03:03
The speed in which we can turn an idea into a first form prototype using generative AI means we should be turning our id...
Completed View Brainstorm
11/06/2025 19:37
Really anything in business can be expressed as there are desires that are blocked by problems/obstacles that need solut...
Completed View Brainstorm
11/06/2025 17:55
The creative brief and rollout plans will become more relevant of documents for all media as it becomes more competitive...
Completed View Brainstorm
11/06/2025 02:56
It's important to create a reason for style. Why do we like things a certain way. For example, I like simple, direct lan...
Completed View Brainstorm
11/06/2025 02:45
A limiter remover created by AI is that it removes the failure mode of self-censoring which occurs when we evaluate imme...
Completed View Brainstorm
11/05/2025 21:56
When it comes to the art of creation and developing things to share, there is a ton of value of just getting stakes in t...
Completed View Brainstorm
11/05/2025 00:27
As AI becomes a primary consumer of operational data, information architecture within applications should optimize for c...
Completed View Brainstorm
11/04/2025 18:35
There is an interesting parallel of Microsoft v. Apple in the last 40 years and OpenAI and Anthropic. Microsoft went for...
Completed View Brainstorm
11/04/2025 17:15
The Claude Code workflow of using a filesystem and working with an AI that can use Tools/MCPs is going to be a powerful...
Completed View Brainstorm
11/04/2025 10:29
The total value that can be extracted by LLMs is constrained by the declarative knowledge held by the user. For example,...
Completed View Brainstorm
11/03/2025 00:54
There is a ton of value of getting things to a state of completeness in which nobody needs to steward it any longer unle...
Completed View Brainstorm
10/30/2025 01:24
We are only at any given time approximations of ourselves. In reality our capabilities likely far exceed what we believe...
Completed View Brainstorm
10/29/2025 22:11
As a person with free will, you don't need permission to do anything. You always can decide to do something and then do...
Completed View Brainstorm
10/29/2025 21:22
The combination of cosmic meaninglessness and the constructed nature of social reality produces radical freedom to act,...
Completed View Brainstorm
10/29/2025 21:10
The combination of cosmic meaninglessness and the constructed nature of social reality produces radical freedom to act,...
Processing Reports 43% complete
10/29/2025 15:18
The paradigm for context engineering will be events. Information has it's highest value when tied to a time, space, and...
Completed View Brainstorm
10/29/2025 14:32
Discomfort tolerance is a trainable skill that operates like a muscle—it strengthens with repeated use and atrophies wit...
Completed View Brainstorm
10/29/2025 02:54
Organizational productivity should be measured by an individual’s ability to create, enable, or protect value that contr...
Completed View Brainstorm
10/29/2025 02:21
The key to valuable work and true productivity within an organization is the ability to generate valuable/novel insights...
Completed View Brainstorm
10/28/2025 20:17
Influence is about taking an idea and shaping it for yourself in your head (understanding), creating artifacts that can...
Completed View Brainstorm
10/28/2025 20:01
there is a massive arbitrage opportunity for the rare person who can translate between CEO vision and AI execution while...
Processing Reports 100% complete
10/23/2025 18:00
Approaching truly ambitious goals stems from a a mix of conviction and courage that often must stem beyond just an intel...
Completed View Brainstorm
10/23/2025 16:06
Strong and clear deadlines are more important than timelines. Adherence to deadlines is critical. Deadlines are everythi...
Completed View Brainstorm
10/23/2025 16:05
Influence is about taking an idea and shaping it for yourself in your head (understanding), creating artifacts that can...
Completed View Brainstorm
10/21/2025 21:42
Everything that we do that adds value starts with two key concepts found in Don Norman’s writing Knowledge in the hea...
Completed View Brainstorm
10/17/2025 17:54
The common way of generating progress through an idealized outcome (goals, vision, mission) is wrong. Instead, it's much...
Completed View Brainstorm
10/17/2025 15:49
Understanding (reality), Influencing (self and others), and Actioning (aiming to complete actions/practices/tasks/initia...
Completed View Brainstorm
09/26/2025 12:25
Sustainable behavioral change requires modification of both the brain's habitual/procedural memory systems (basal gangli...
Completed View Brainstorm
09/22/2025 17:14
One should leave no ambiguity on their current task at hand as this brings confusion, procrastination, and misalignment...
Completed View Brainstorm
09/18/2025 18:52
Before you decide to apply effort into solving a problem, you should spend ample time documenting, thinking about, and i...
Completed View Brainstorm
09/18/2025 18:49
Before you decide to apply effort into solving a problem, you should spend ample time documenting, thinking about, and i...
Completed View Brainstorm
09/17/2025 23:56
If you're not entirely sure on what you should be doing at any instant a good solution is to start writing out your thou...
Completed View Brainstorm
09/16/2025 11:53
The ideal workflow of getting projects done rapidly is to get to the phases of completion as quickly as possible. Yo...
Completed View Brainstorm
09/13/2025 15:46
The insidious type of non-focus comes from curiosity. As information is ingested, it creates new pathways of exploration...
Completed View Brainstorm
09/12/2025 15:46
There is a path dependency to good and bad decisions. Meaning there are bad decisions that get compounded from previous...
Completed View Brainstorm
09/10/2025 16:06
You journal should prepare you for the future not just be a re-account of the present. What lessons from now that you wa...
Completed View Brainstorm
09/08/2025 10:23
Take a Raise or Fold Attitude To Life - When you identify a high-conviction opportunity with favorable risk-adjusted ret...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/30/2025 14:45
To achieve high standards you need to set them high but you also need a ton of structure and support to best facilitate...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/29/2025 14:42
The unlock of AI for a GTM organization in their tooling, workflows, execution, enablement, is the best path to growth r...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/29/2025 14:41
The unlock of AI for a GTM organization in their tooling, workflows, execution, enablement, is the best path to growth r...
Processing Reports 0% complete
08/28/2025 10:57
Self Control is overrated. Your brain and body are so advanced in getting what it wants that trying to use rational thou...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/27/2025 13:38
The road to growth is paved with constant encounters with your own devils. The temptations that lead you to remain the s...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/26/2025 17:35
Every day there's a series of thousands of questions that you're being asked to answer with your choices and each answer...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/26/2025 17:28
Every day there's a series of thousands of questions that you're being asked to answer with your choices and each answer...
Processing Reports 0% complete
08/26/2025 17:20
Every day there's a series of thousands of questions that you're being asked to answer with your choices and each answer...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/26/2025 02:50
Aside for time that is dedicated for leisure or rest, if you're supposed to be engaged in productive work you should wor...
Processing Clarity
08/26/2025 02:49
Aside for time that is dedicated for leisure or rest, if you're supposed to be engaged in productive work you should wor...
Processing Clarity
08/26/2025 02:48
Aside for time that is dedicated for leisure or rest, if you're supposed to be engaged in productive work you should wor...
Processing Clarity
08/26/2025 02:48
Aside for time that is dedicated for leisure or rest, if you're supposed to be engaged in productive work you should wor...
Processing Clarity
08/26/2025 02:43
Aside for time that is dedicated for leisure or rest, if you're supposed to be engaged in productive work you should wor...
Processing Clarity
08/25/2025 22:44
The path towards becoming a high energy, high disciplined individual starts with understanding everyday as a crucible. E...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/25/2025 18:20
A part of doing high value work is rejecting cognitive ease and being able to deal with the pain that comes from selecti...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/25/2025 14:16
Culture is memetic by nature so it must be embodied by people and actions (example) and not by platitudes. To shift a cu...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/25/2025 12:18
Culture is memetic by nature so it must be embodied by people and actions (example) and not by platitudes. To shift a cu...
Processing Reports 0% complete
08/25/2025 12:11
Culture is memetic by nature so it must be embodied by people and actions (example) and not by platitudes. To shift a cu...
Processing Reports 0% complete
08/25/2025 12:11
Culture is memetic by nature so it must be embodied by people and actions (example) and not by platitudes. To shift a cu...
Processing Clarity
08/25/2025 02:03
Everybody needs a decision making heuristic on how they spend each waking moment of their life. At any given moment, you...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/25/2025 01:57
There are three dimensions in which you can predict how far someone goes within an organization. Discipline/Industrio...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/25/2025 01:43
Disgust/distaste is biggest driver of conscientiousness. It's not the drive to be self-disciplined, dutiful, achievement...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/24/2025 18:51
In competitive redraft fantasy football the most important skill aside from the ability to draft well for roster managem...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/22/2025 12:42
There needs to be a language around the identification of Insight and the potential alpha. Insight alone is useless unl...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/22/2025 03:02
The role of the "Forward Deployed Engineer" (a technical resource that is embedded into another organization to understa...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/22/2025 02:50
GTM efficiency is the most important thing organizations should be spending their time when it comes to AI efforts. Most...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/21/2025 14:29
All tasks are a implementation of a prototypical general task with slight variations. For example at work, your often "R...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/20/2025 14:25
To accelerate work, we need to think of the interfaces of individual and synchronized time based on what information is...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/20/2025 14:22
There is a ton of value to access information from the concentric circle of a single point. Example: Getting information...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/20/2025 14:20
For maximum effectiveness to create more net value and ambitious outcomes it's likely that people need to be more consci...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/20/2025 14:17
In business you can be wrong in a vacuum but be right due to business being so multivariate. You only need to be right o...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/20/2025 14:15
The new array of skills that will be most valuable when working with generative AI is being clear On what You want so th...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/20/2025 12:03
The most systemic way to achieve any goal is through a strong daily/weekly cadence of reviewing progress towards the goa...
Completed View Brainstorm
08/20/2025 12:02
The most systemic way to achieve any goal is through a strong daily/weekly cadence of reviewing progress towards the goa...
Processing Clarity