Expertise Training

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Cues Scott Bessent · never trained
Cues Soros' Fallibility and Reflexivity · never trained
Cues & Discrimination
Mental Simulation
ShadowBox
Cover story: Scenarios

Work an unfolding scenario: rank the options at each decision point, then compare your ranking and reasoning against an expert panel's — the learning is in the gap.

Frank Slootman
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Nothing here yet.
A LIFETIME OF SYSTEMS THINKING
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Steph Smith
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Consilience
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Managed Databases
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Opportunity Cost
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The Checklist Manifesto
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The Effective Executive
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Systems Thinking
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Ole Peters
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Wanting
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Charlie Munger
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Epistemology
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Annie Duke
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Psychology of Intelligence Analysis
1 scenario
The Recurring Pattern: An Intelligence Analysis ShadowBox Sc... · 4 decision points
Better Problem Selection
1 scenario
Choosing Your Mountain: A Problem Selection ShadowBox · 4 decision points
Breakthrough Advertising
2 scenarios
The Launch That Missed the Market · 4 decision points
The Awareness Gap: Launching a New Productivity App into a C... · 4 decision points
The Transaction Costs of Work
1 scenario
The Overhead Trap: Managing a Cascading Project Derailment · 4 decision points
The Strange Order of Things
2 scenarios
The Weight of Feeling: Diagnosing the Roots of Human Motivat... · 4 decision points
The Feeling Behind the Decision: A ShadowBox Scenario on Hom... · 4 decision points
The Goal
2 scenarios
The Bottleneck Crisis at Precision Parts Manufacturing · 4 decision points
The Bottleneck at Bravura Manufacturing · 4 decision points
Understanding Michael Porter
2 scenarios
Competing to Win or Competing to Be Unique? A Strategic Cros... · 4 decision points
Competing to Be Unique: A Strategic Positioning Challenge · 4 decision points
--Catchfile
1 scenario
The Codebase Garden: Engineering Leadership at a Growing Saa... · 5 decision points
Allen x Richard (September 25th 2020)
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I'm an information junkie
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10 questions to help you identify your comfort zone and limiting belie...
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Experiments
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The Application Integration Problem
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What is the value of learning in the age of AI/LLMs
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a16z Reading list
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Solving my Role Problem
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Fantasy 2021
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Compounding Habits Log
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My Vivid Vision
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Wealth 5M ('24 - '27)
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Short-Term Regret Minimization
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Do I believe in the value of a documentdb/nosqldb like MongoDB for bus...
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What are the fundamental ideas of Terraform
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Life Changing Probing Prompts
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Z10X Product Ideas
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How much of our follows stem for not being able to detect and deal wit...
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Startup Names
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Mindfulness/Feeling Log
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How To Manage Your Day {Tactical Handbook}
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COOs and their career paths
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Killer Features of Note Taking Apps
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Writing topic ideation from brainstorms/knowledge [Paper Solution]
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Plan the Habits Feature
2 scenarios
Habit Tracker Product Decisions: Designing for Real User Beh... · 3 decision points
Habit Tracker Product Decisions: Building the Right Features... · 4 decision points
Designing Rules Taken Seriously Life
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Creating the cSDR sales process
2 scenarios
The Challenger Pitch: Selling Data-in-Motion to a Skeptical... · 4 decision points
The Challenger Sale: Reframing Data-in-Motion for a Skeptica... · 4 decision points
Sessions and the Substrates
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Breaking down ruthless prioritization and execution
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The Burning Platform: A Founder's Prioritization Crisis · 4 decision points
Career Bet for 2026 - 2029
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Accelerated Outcomes Self Experiment
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The Advancer / The Operator / The Understander
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Accelerated Vyv
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AWS Exam Questions
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Seed to Tree Framework
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5 Ideas Taken Seriously
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AI Substation
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Project Maximizer
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Nuuly Fairy
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Operational Data Provenance, Kafka, and AI/Agents
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How much of a threat is Temporal?
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How to get value out of AI
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Ideas for Jev/Kafka/Flink/Agent Traces
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Thinking , Reasoning, Learning, Decision Making, Focus, Opportunity Co...
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Lead Management Plays Instructional
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Improvements
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The business as a system (Antifragile, Systems Thinking)
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Solving the elongated goal
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Final Email
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IBs to improve writing
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DoThatWith
2 scenarios
Picking the Right Tool: A Startup Founder's Dilemma · 4 decision points
Picking the Right SaaS Tool: A Startup Founder's Dilemma · 4 decision points
Co-opetition
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Principal-agent problem
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Writing Handbook
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AI/ML
2 scenarios
The Five-Touch Nurture: Sequencing a Prospect Who Attended Y... · 5 decision points
The Five-Touch Sequence: Nurturing a Cold ML/AI Prospect · 5 decision points
Glyvian Analytics Brainstorm 11/25/19
2 scenarios
Reading the Dashboard: A Website Analytics Decision Scenario · 4 decision points
Reading the Dashboard: A Website Analytics Decision Scenario · 4 decision points
Agent Careers Page
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Inbound Email Manager ETI
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Reasoning/inferencing through emotion and why writing is useful
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Scaling People
2 scenarios
The Scaling Chaos: Building an Operating System for a Growin... · 4 decision points
The Scaling Chaos: Building an Operating System for a Growin... · 4 decision points
Defensible Job Market Skills for Next 10 Years
2 scenarios
The Allocation Crucible: Steering a Mid-Size SaaS Firm Throu... · 4 decision points
The Allocation Meeting: Navigating an AI-Native Strategy Dec... · 4 decision points
Mindsets that Accelerate Success
2 scenarios
Building Your Signal: A Creative Professional's Networking a... · 4 decision points
The Visibility Problem: Building a Career Through Strategic... · 4 decision points
Every product, service, or piece of work is fundamentally an exchange...
2 scenarios
The Experience Engineer: Building a Product That Actually Ma... · 4 decision points
The Experience Engine: Building a Product Your Users Actuall... · 4 decision points
Value emerges from the intersection of desire and scarcity.
2 scenarios
The Scarcity Architect: Building Unique Value in a Shifting... · 4 decision points
The Scarcity Strategist: Building Unique Value in a Shifting... · 4 decision points
Business Solutions: Bridging Desires and Obstacles Through Strategic C...
3 scenarios
The Desire Diagnostic: Navigating a Product Launch Gone Wron... · 4 decision points
The Desire-Obstacle-Solution Trap: Navigating a Product Laun... · 4 decision points
The Desire-Obstacle-Solution Trap: A Business Framework Deci... · 4 decision points
Progress Through Problem-Solving: A More Meaningful Path to Achievemen...
2 scenarios
The Strategy Retreat: Problem-Solving vs. Vision-Driven Prog... · 4 decision points
The Pivot Decision: Problem-Solving vs. Vision-Driven Strate... · 4 decision points
500 Ways To Deliver Value
2 scenarios
The Value Architect: Designing High-Stakes Client Engagement... · 4 decision points
The Advisor's Dilemma: Delivering Value Under Pressure · 4 decision points
Influence: Shaping Ideas Through Personal Understanding, Artifacts, an...
2 scenarios
The Alignment Gap: Navigating Influence in a Fractured Organ... · 4 decision points
The Influence Architect: Launching a Strategic Idea Campaign · 5 decision points
Initiating Creative Work: Early Artifacts Catalyze Meaningful Progress
2 scenarios
Stakes in the Ground: Navigating Early Artifact Sharing in a... · 5 decision points
Stakes in the Ground: Navigating Early Artifact Sharing in a... · 4 decision points
Personal Growth Through Intentional Reflection and Future-Focused Jour...
2 scenarios
The Journal That Looks Forward: Navigating a Career Transiti... · 4 decision points
The Journal at the Crossroads: Designing Your Personal Wisdo... · 4 decision points
Developing a Personal Idea Immune System
2 scenarios
The Crossroads of Commitment: A Personal Productivity Crisis · 5 decision points
The Wayward Professional: Reclaiming Intentional Living · 4 decision points
Expanding Perception: Mastering the Art of Observational Learning and...
2 scenarios
The Pattern and the Blind Spot: Developing Recognition Skill... · 4 decision points
What Did You See? A Recognition Skills Training Scenario · 4 decision points
Effective learning requires active application through ongoing project...
2 scenarios
The Integration Trap: Designing a Learning System for a Know... · 4 decision points
The Integration Trap: Designing a Learning System for a Know... · 4 decision points
The Knowledge-to-Action Cycle: A Working Framework
2 scenarios
The Accelerated Cycle: Navigating the Knowledge-to-Action Lo... · 4 decision points
The Stalled Cycle: Navigating the Knowledge-to-Action Bottle... · 4 decision points
Neural Rewiring: Experiential Learning's Role in Transforming Behavior
2 scenarios
Rewiring the Routine: A Behavioral Change Coaching Scenario · 4 decision points
The Returning Athlete: Rebuilding After Injury · 4 decision points
What would immense focus look like?
2 scenarios
The Immense Focus Problem: A ShadowBox Scenario on Deep Work... · 4 decision points
The Immense Focus Problem: Managing Your Work Portfolio · 4 decision points
Deterministic Agents
2 scenarios
The Factory Audit: Building Cognitive Infrastructure for an... · 4 decision points
The Factory Audit: Building Cognitive Infrastructure for an... · 4 decision points
Working with Agents
2 scenarios
The Bottleneck Decision: Scaling a Software Consultancy with... · 4 decision points
The Bottleneck You Can't See: Applying Theory of Constraints... · 4 decision points
Exponential Organizational Intelligence through Collaborative AI Agent...
2 scenarios
The Pooled Mind: Deploying an AI Agent Knowledge Network at... · 4 decision points
The Pooled Minds Problem: Deploying AI Agent Networks in a M... · 4 decision points
Source & Ingestion
2 scenarios
The Silent Gap: Ingesting a Legal Document Corpus into a RAG... · 4 decision points
The Silent Gap: Bulk Seed Transfer for a RAG Knowledge Base · 5 decision points
Model Customization
2 scenarios · last trained 1 month ago
The Fine-Tune That Wasn't: Navigating Model Customization De... · 5 decision points
The Fine-Tune Trap: Model Customization Decision-Making on A... · 5 decision points · played 1x · last alignment ρ=0.62
Models of Misalignment, Information, and Coordination
3 scenarios
The Cobra Farm: Navigating Incentive Design at a Regional He... · 4 decision points
The Quota Trap: Managing a Regional Sales Team Through a Res... · 4 decision points
The Readmission Trap: Navigating Perverse Metrics at Riversi... · 4 decision points
Project Management Unraveled Expanded
4 scenarios
The Onboarding Portal: A Project Manager's Crucible · 4 decision points
The Onboarding Portal That Wouldn't Land · 4 decision points
The Risk That Wasn't Sleeping: A Mid-Project Crisis · 4 decision points
The Stakeholder Who Wasn't on the Map · 4 decision points
Shifting Left: Rearchitecting the Operational–Analytical Divide to Pro...
2 scenarios
Shifting Left: A Data Architecture Decision Under Pressure · 4 decision points
The Bronze Age Crisis: Diagnosing a Failing Data Pipeline · 4 decision points
Hey Whipple, Squeeze This: The Classic Guide to Creating Great Adverti...
2 scenarios
The Brief That Broke the Brand · 5 decision points
The Blank Page and the Brief: Crafting a Campaign for a Lega... · 4 decision points
Driven by Compression Progress
2 scenarios
The Frontier Problem: Navigating Creative Decisions Through... · 4 decision points
The Compression Curve: A Creative Director's Dilemma · 4 decision points
The Creative Act: Organized Notes
2 scenarios
The Unfinished Album · 5 decision points
The Unfinished Album · 4 decision points
Neuroscience of pain and discomfort
3 scenarios
The Athlete Who Wouldn't Stop: Managing Pain and Discomfort... · 4 decision points
The Athlete's Wall: Managing Discomfort During Endurance Per... · 4 decision points
The Athlete's Edge: Managing Discomfort During High-Stakes E... · 4 decision points
Valuation Mastery
2 scenarios
The Compounder That Wasn't: Valuing a High-Growth Software C... · 4 decision points
The Compounder Trap: Valuing a High-Growth Retailer · 5 decision points
Scott Bessent
2 scenarios
The Calcified Consensus: A Global Macro Decision Exercise · 4 decision points
The Calcified Consensus: A Global Macro Decision Exercise · 4 decision points
George Soros
2 scenarios
The Reflexive Loop: Navigating a Boom-Bust Inflection · 4 decision points
The Reflexive Loop: Navigating a Boom-Bust Inflection Point · 4 decision points
Stanley Druckenmiller
1 scenario
The Conviction Trade: A Druckenmiller-Style Macro Decision · 4 decision points
The Upside of Your Dark Side: Why Being Your Whole Self--Not Just Your...
2 scenarios
The Sentinel and the Speedometer: Navigating Emotional Agili... · 4 decision points
The Whole Leader: Navigating Emotional Discomfort in a High-... · 4 decision points
Be Your Future Self Now
2 scenarios
Becoming Your Future Self: A Personal Development Decision S... · 4 decision points
Becoming Your Future Self: A Personal Development Planning S... · 4 decision points
Market Mind Games: A Radical Psychology of Investing, Trading and Risk...
2 scenarios
The Market Mind Game: Trading Perception Under Pressure · 4 decision points
The Perception Game: Reading the Room When Numbers Lie · 4 decision points
ADHD 2.0: New Science and Essential Strategies for Thriving with Distr...
2 scenarios · last trained 4 months ago
The Fire Hose Problem: Supporting a Colleague with ADHD · 4 decision points · played 1x · last alignment ρ=0.80
The Brilliant Wreck: Managing a High-Potential Employee with... · 4 decision points